The currency strength indicator reveals all in thin markets!
https://youtu.be/BNsGvtj_3a4...
Fundamentals for the GBP and the NZD/USD in focus in today’s London forex session
https://youtu.be/uqUt3dRh0Xo
In this morning's forex session with Anna and David of Quantum Trading, the session starts with Anna considering some of the fundamental drivers for the British pound, and of course Brexit. Over the next few months we are likely to see increasing volatility as the negotiations reach their conclusion. Whether agreement is reached or not, one thing you can be sure of is that each statement or announcement will send the pound sharply higher or lower across the complex.
The New Zealand dollar was the pair in focus on the NinjaTrader platform bringing together many of the VPA lessons on the faster timeframes, with a decisive move lower signalled across the complex on the currency array and also on the currency strength indicator. One of the key issues for all traders managing the emotional stress created when a market pauses and reverses, in other words from the primary into the secondary trend, before establishing the initial trend once more. Here we...
Aussie and euro feature in the London forex session
https://youtu.be/h8RAmPZGqjI
In this morning's forex session we saw a nice move in the Aussie Dollar with some classic volume price analysis lessons when combined with the Quantum Trading indicators. The euro also produced a nice move lower with the renko charts on MT5 leading the way.
The renko charts on MT5 are unique as they allow you to add both standard indicators and the Quantum tools and indicators directly to the chart. The trends indicator and te trend monitor indicator work perfectly with this style of chart as you can see from the euro dollar in the European session just ahead of the London open....
GBP in focus ahead of Autumn budget
This morning's highlight comes from Chancellor George Osborne here in the UK with his Autumn Forecast Statement, so expect lots of smoke & mirrors, volatility and opportunity to shake traders out of the market.For the British pound complex on the faster time frames, it's been a case of some good moves lower against USD, JPY & euro. The hourly currency strength indicator is also highlighting the GBP as heavily oversold, but as we have said many times in our forex webinars - currencies, markets and instrument can stay stubbornly over extended much longer than we think. And as we also say in the webinars your time horizon will always be a factor in any trading decision, and also help to quantify the level of risk associated with that trade.
Discover more about the currency strength indicator here....
Bearish sentiment continues for eurodollar
The release of slightly better than expected preliminary GDP and unemployment claims for the US did manage to add some bearish momentum to the eurodollar before it found support at 1.2525 from where it has been attempting to rally higher. It goes without saying this level needs to be taken out for the pair to continue lower. However, what is also significant on the 30 min and hourly chart is that this price point marks the low of the volatility candles which were triggered at the time of the news releases.
A trigger of such a candle - in other words a candle which is outside the ATR for the instrument in question - often results in the price action simply retreating within the spread of the candle.
At time of writing the pair is once again approaching the 1.1225 price point and if taken out should see the pair move to test the next level of support at 1.1213.
The good...
Bears take hold of cable
Today's reversal in cable has once again taken the pair back to the VPOC (volume point of control) support which sits in the 1.5573 price region. This price area is where cable has been rotating since early July, and despite what appeared to be a decisive break away on Monday when cable touched a high of 1.5803, yesterday's down candle has had the effect of creating a classic two bar reversal. Therefore, no surprise to see the resulting fall in today's trading session where cable has fallen over 200 pips.
Today's price action has not only taken cable below the VPOC for the first time since early August but also seen a break through the 100 ma, and with today's move supported with good volume the next stop for cable would appear to be 1.5424 on the daily chart.
Moving to the hourly chart cable has found some good support at 1.5466, a price point first hit by a volatility candle earlier...
Forget the euro, look at the British pound!
In all the brouhaha about Greece and the euro it's easy to forget what else is going on in the forex market. Sometimes I feel Greece is taking up too much space in traders' heads at the expense of other markets and currencies. And for a perfect example of what I mean look no further than the continued strength in GBP which has seen some great trends in GBP/NZD & GBP/CAD & I'm still waiting for the GBP/JPY to turn lower, but only once we see a major reversal in risk sentiment.
On both charts the NinjaTrader trend monitor has remained firmly bullish with only a minor transition on the GBP/CAD reflecting the recent pause in the longer term trend. However, moving to the NinjaTrader currency strength indicator to the left of the chart, here we can see that the British Pound, the yellow line, is now moving ever deeper into the oversold region on the daily timeframe, so this trend...
The yen currency matrix in focus as equities fall
The overnight fall in the Nikkei 225 of 1.76% has resulted in an impressive two bar reversal (aka a shooting star) on the daily chart for the USD/JPY - so no surprise to see the pair move lower in this morning's trading session.
What is perhaps more significant is this move in the JPY is not consistent across the JPY pairs we follow on our matrix, and in particular the EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY. The latter is a pair I am looking to short on a longer term basis, but patience is required not least because I want to see the JPY begin to move away from the bottom (oversold) on the currency strength indicator. This also highlights a key aspect of forex trading, namely individual currencies can stay overbought or oversold for much longer than we expect. Much, of course, will depend on risk sentiment, and in particular whether the current downwards trend in equities continues, and if so then we...
EUR/NZD reverses recent trend for the New Zealand dollar
The EUR/NZD has delivered some excellent trading opportunities across all the timeframes this morning to the short side, following the recent heavily bearish sentiment towards the New Zealand dollar which has seen it weaken against all the major currencies. Indeed longer term the NZD is now looking increasingly oversold, so we may see this trend reflected on the slower timeframe charts in due course.
This morning's move was signalled initially with a move below the volume point of control (VPOC) on the 30 minute chart ( the yellow line), a move that was duly supported with rising volume and confirming the bearish sentiment. In addition, the transition in the trend monitor indicator from blue to red also confirmed this reversal, coupled with a pivot high indicator prior to the move through the VPOC. Since then, momentum to the downside has increased with volumes also rising sharply and confirming the wide spread down candle as we approach a potential area of support...