https://youtu.be/QQvzkV2brBE
Another great session this morning with David and myself as we showcase the Quantum Trading tools and indicators through the European open and into the London session, and the two currencies we focused on here were the British pound and the euro. As you would expect these are the currencies that take centre stage as European markets open, and we were not disappointed with the euro finding some positive sentiment and sending it firmly higher against the US dollar which was equally bearish on the faster timeframes, and so developing a nice trend. And of course this was clearly in evidence on the currency strength indicator on both the MT5 platform and the NinjaTrader platform.
One of the key issues when trading any pair is to understand whether the sentiment for the currency is universal across the currency complex, and here the currency matrix and the currency array step in to help and display this instantly and in all timeframes. This...
https://youtu.be/uqUt3dRh0Xo
In this morning's forex session with Anna and David of Quantum Trading, the session starts with Anna considering some of the fundamental drivers for the British pound, and of course Brexit. Over the next few months we are likely to see increasing volatility as the negotiations reach their conclusion. Whether agreement is reached or not, one thing you can be sure of is that each statement or announcement will send the pound sharply higher or lower across the complex.
The New Zealand dollar was the pair in focus on the NinjaTrader platform bringing together many of the VPA lessons on the faster timeframes, with a decisive move lower signalled across the complex on the currency array and also on the currency strength indicator. One of the key issues for all traders managing the emotional stress created when a market pauses and reverses, in other words from the primary into the secondary trend, before establishing the initial trend once more. Here we...
https://youtu.be/nPZJa2zqzxA
A great session this morning with David and myself and we started with the EUR/AUD which has been rising strongly for the last few days, and one of the lessons from our private trading chat room where we support our forex education program members. This was an example of an annotated chart of the EUR/AUD posted in the forum in real time and explaining some of the key VPA lessons. One of the hardest things to do in trading is to stay in a trend once a position begins to develop into profit, particularly when the trend pauses and starts to pull back or reverse.
This happens in all timeframes and is when the market pauses and moves into congestion. So how do we know whether this is a true change in the primary trend, or simply a move into a secondary trend before re-establishing the primary trend once more, and this is where volume price analysis steps in. This is...
https://youtu.be/-5MMfQ-uu5Q
Recording of this morning's London forex session with the Aussie yen in focus in risk off start to the trading day.
It was a risk off start to the trading day with the Japanese yen being bought universally across the market, and with the focus on the Aussie yen in particular. The Quantum currency array indicator highlighted this perfectly in the session with some excellent price action.
You can check out all the tools and indicators at https://www.quantumtrading.com and the full education program at https://www.quantumtradingeducation.com...
The currency strength indicator on the daily timeframe has been signalling the UK pound as strongly overbought (yellow line) and the Japanese yen (magenta line) as oversold for some time, and today has finally seen the pair move lower following last week's extended congestion phase in the 151 area of the chart.
This period of price action was preceded with the two bar reversal, sending an intial signal of weakness following the overreaction to hawkish comments from the BOE, with wide spread price action in the up move, not supported or validated with volume. |For any such move, volumes should have been dramatically higher, a clear sign of the lack of participation by the insiders, and signal of a trap being set. The trap has now been sprung and helped lower with weak UK economic data as the new month begins.
As we can see from the currency strength indicator on the left we have some way to go, and moving to...
From a technical perspective last week was not an easy one for the euro with a divergence of sentiment across the complex. Against the USD it found some much needed support at the 1.0825 support level, which provided the springboard for a move up and through the VPOC on the daily chart at the key 1.09 price point. The pair managed to maintain this bullish momentum through to the end of week before finally ending the week at 1.1004 on reasonable volume. However, this move higher has, so farfailed to follow through in today's trading session with the 100 ema providing the cap. Bearish sentiment towards the euro has also increased in the futures market where shorts have added 18.1k contracts taking the total gross short position to 172.5k, the largest increase since November 2015.
This week we also have the ECB interest rate decision and obligatory press conference, and given the current economic downturn in the eurozone, the market is...
With year end on the horizon, now perhaps is a good time to see what the Swiss franc has been up in an effort to determine what the currency is likely to be doing in the run up to the 15th January 2015 anniversary when the SNB (Swiss National Bank) removed the floor of support for the currency, unleashing a wave of volatility on the markets not seen since the dark days of the financial crisis back in 2008.
From a technical standpoint the Swiss Franc is now heavily oversold on the hourly and daily currency strength indicator, against most of its counterparts, with the exception of the where the picture is very different, with the pair firmly range bound albeit well below the 1.20 price point, which triggered the January volatility.
With regard to the other CHF pairs, and in particular the USD/CHF the current move higher that started in mid October is now reaching an exhaustion point, as the pair...
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Mario Draghi's comments at the ECB conference regarding further stimulus has led to a dramatic fall in the euro across the board, and the eurodollar in particular. This weakness, however, was first signaled last week, and has been developing since the start of the trading week, and is a follow through from the two bar reversal posted on the daily chart.
Today's price action on the eurodollar daily chart has resulted in a volatility candle being triggered given the extreme move, and if there is no follow through, then it should be surprise to see the price action simply retreat to within the spread of today's candle.
In addition today's price move has seen the eurodollar move back through the volume point of control.
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Some really nice two way price action on the Aussie complex which started overnight on the release of Chinese data, namely GDP, the Industrial Production and the Fixed Asset Investment numbers. The hourly chart for the complex clearly shows volatility candles being triggered across the board (as denoted by the purple arrows), with the Aussie rising sharply before moving back inside the spread of the volatility candle. This momentum was also signaled on the currency strength indicator before the currency moved into a consolidation phase in the transition to the European and London sessions.
There were further gains for the Aussie in the morning session, until bullish momemtum drained away which resulted in some great trades to the short side. These were particularly evident in the AUD/USD, GBP/AUD and AUD/NZD.
The Aussie now faces another important item of fundamental news, specifically the RBA Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes which may give traders some indication of whether the central bank is likely to cut...
