USD weakness continues to drive Cable

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Cable selling off sharply on the back of poor GDP figure falling to a low of 1.5176, but recovering sharply and back over key support at 1.5220, and with USD continuing to look weak no reason why it cable can't continue higher. It has already touched 1.5260 & beyond this price level we are then looking at 1.53 and beyond. This afternoon we have the CB consumer confidence release at 2.00 pm London. USD weakness has also played its part in these moves. USD index is now the one to watch - running into the release and also ahead of tomorrow's FOMC....
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Cable continues to build bullish momentum

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
For forex traders in London yesterday morning, eurozone PMI and UK retail sales were the main items of fundamental news. And it was Cable again which provided us with some important trading lessons. The first was how we need to be aware of positioning ahead of any major news release. In the run up to the retail sales number, Cable had been basing around the 1.4920 support platform, having come off the 1.4975 high of the previous evening, thereby creating the start of what looked to be a down candle. However, as always is it the daily chart which is so important, providing us with a more macro view of any currency pair, and here Cable has been very bullish since bouncing off major support in the 1.4898 region. Just ahead of the news Cable started to move up, and with the release the usual volatility occurred, which triggered a candle with a 56 pip spread - taking out both longs and shorts!...
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Euro oversold in all timeframes on currency strength indicator

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Ahead of the German ZEW data this morning, markets are positioning for a move in the euro dollar, with the euro now heavily oversold and the US dollar equally over bought in the faster timeframes. Using the currency strength indicator in multiple timeframes provides a fast and visual picture of currency strength and weakness, with the euro (the gold line) now deeply oversold from the the 5 minute to the 30 minute timeframe, and preparing to reverse the longer term bearish sentiment ahead of the news. Apart from the ZEW, the only other ongoing euro news is of course Greece which continues to weigh on the single currency. Finally remember that any market or currency can remain over extended for some time, and as always patience is the key coupled with the price action on the charts. The currency strength indicator is always the starting point to identify potential strength and weakness in an individual currency. Then it's time to consider...
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Bearish tone for GBP/USD continues in early trading

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
As the markets get under way in London this morning, and with a relatively thin day for fundamental news, the US dollar is once again advancing on the fast time frame charts and providing some excellent intraday scalping opportunities across the currency majors. Both the British pound and the euro have been selling off sharply against the US dollar, with the currency strength indicator on the 15 minute timeframe showing the US dollar, the red line rising firmly and moving towards the overbought region, with the euro (orange) and the pound (yellow) both moving strongly lower along with the Swiss franc (green). The chart alongside is of the GBP/USD in a slightly slower time frame (30m) and reflecting the current bearish sentiment at present for this pair, with the Trend Monitor at the bottom of the chart remaining firmly red, with the current volume rising, and confirming the current move lower. In addition, Cable is now breaking below the recent platform...
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Japanese yen overstretched on currency strength indicator

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
In the run up to any UK news the British pound is often one of the best currencies to consider early in the London trading session, either to position ahead of the news, or to wait until the data has been released. However, this morning the most compelling currency has been the Japanese Yen which is very over stretched across a number of time frames on our currency strength indicator. The result has been a number of potential trades to sell the YEN. This is the principle way we approach the forex market - focus on a single currency & consider its price behaviour against its counter parties to see which is offering the best opportunity to trade safely and profitably. A sell on the YEN usually denotes positive market sentiment and this morning we have seen some mildly bullish moves in Globex on the NQ & ES indices, confirming this risk on sentiment. The USD/JPY is also ticking higher, giving us additional confidence. Of...
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Cable very bearish on the longer term charts

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Ahead of the manufacturing production number the British pound has been particularly lively in the past couple of hours with 6 volatility candles alone being triggered on Cable on the 3 min chart. For Cable, yesterday's rally which saw the pair bounce off support in the 1.4760 region was a move more akin to a 'dead cat bounce' as once the pair hit the major resistance at 1.4840 at the start of the US session opened the floodgates for some heavy duty selling. This took cable down 1.4684 before it finally managed to find some support as the market moved into Asia. A number of reasons have been suggested for this move, including the tensions and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming UK election, and as highlighted yesterday, we are seeing a major sell off in UK gilts. In the face of such uncertainty It appears foreign investors would much rather move their money into US Treasuries and Asia, and Japanese investors in particular...
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Another great trade on the EUR/AUD

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
It's been another great day's trading on the EUR/AUD, which has continued the bearish tone from yesterday, following the RBA statement and a decision to keep interest rates on hold for the time being. The 60 minute chart has delivered a consistent trend today with the pair moving through the platform of support in the 1.4125 region and as defined with the accumulation and distribution indicator. The trend monitor at the bottom of the chart continues to confirm the bearish tone, supported by the trend dots indicator. Early this afternoon the wide spread down candle saw the pair close at 1.4016 on very high volume, and confirming the current bearish tone for the pair. To the left of the chart, the Quantum currency strength indicator confirms the technical picture, with the euro (the orange line) now deep in oversold territory, and with the Aussie dollar (the blue line) continuing to rise deep into the overbought region. A great trade on this...
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Aussie dollar strengthens as RBA keep rates on hold

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
The main focus overnight was in Australia with the RBA deciding to hold the current cash rate at 2.25%, with no cut. This decision was against the backdrop of declining commodity prices and a slowdown in China with many expecting the rate to be cut to 2.00%. As a result the Aussie dollar strengthened on the news against many of the major currencies, with another nice move on the EUR/AUD on the 15 minute chart. The Quantum accumulation and distribution indicator initially defined the support and resistance region with the 1.4360 being the key level of support and a region that had been tested on several occasions prior to the news. The bearish sentiment was confirmed with the trend monitor to the bottom of the chart which continues to remain bearish in this timeframe with the move lower accompanied by high volume and confirming the short term bearish trend. To the left of the chart and the Ninjatrader currency strength indicator,...
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NinjaTrader launches forex brokerage

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Denver, CO, Tuesday, April 7th, 2015 - NinjaTrader Group, LLC has announced the addition of forex trading to the services available through NinjaTrader Brokerage. Users of the awardwinning NinjaTrader platform can now access the world’s largest and most liquid market directly through a NinjaTrader Brokerage trading account. “We are excited to expand our brokerage services offering with the addition of spot forex”, stated Raymond Deux Founder and CEO of NinjaTrader.    “NinjaTrader users have continually recognized the advanced analysis and automation capabilities of the platform are an ideal fit for the highly liquid forex markets. Combined with our Ecosystem of over 450 partners and add-on applications, NinjaTraders’ extensibility allows FX trader’s to customize the platform to match their evolving requirements.” As an Introducing Broker for FXCM, NinjaTrader Brokerage clients will have access to one of the industry’s largest networks of FX liquidity providers. This partnership will deliver savings to NinjaTrader clients through super tight spreads and deep discount commissions as low as...
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Terrific trend on the EUR/AUD this morning

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
In this morning's forex trading session with Anna and David, one of the currency pairs they focused on was the EUR/AUD, which was the strongest performing currency pair in the currency matrix. The 60 minute currency strength indicator confirmed the longer term position, with the euro (the orange line) climbing strongly towards the overbought region on the indicator, with the Aussie dollar ( the blue line) moving firmly towards the oversold region in this timeframe. The 5 minute chart alongside reflects the trend, with the trend monitor maintaining the bullish picture, and only moving into a transitional color during the minor congestion periods. The trend monitor sister indicator,  the trend dots completes the picture and highlighting these congestion phases in advance. Volumes throughout the move were in agreement and confirming the bullish sentiment for the pair with the accumulation and distribution indicator on NinjaTrader, highlighting the keys areas of support and resistance. The support platform at 1.4252 held firm during the...
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